Description
Join Lossdog at https://lossdog.com and please subscribe to this channel.
Tom Sosnoff and Scott Sheridan are calling it — this is a meltup, with the S&P 500 at
new highs and gold and silver both up 4% as the five-day bull run shows no signs of
stopping. They make the case that Kalshi and Polymarket's combined $45B monthly volume
is more gambling operation than financial market, and walk through why S&P 500 quarterly
index additions are still tradable even after smart money front-runs the announcement.
Nostradogus makes its weekly Amazon call, Lossdog's agentic trades cover live positions
in SpaceX, QQQ, and crude oil, and there's a breakdown of BlackRock and Vanguard's proxy
voting power — and why it probably doesn't change much in practice. Dog pound callers ask
about expected move calculations, iron condor management in a gold breakout, and whether
setting up an LLC makes sense for serious options traders.
#lossdog #tomsosnoff #oneluckydoglive #stockmarket #optionstrading #spacex #predictionmarkets
TIMESTAMPS
0:00 Intro
1:10 SpaceX earnings + market open rundown
6:25 BlackRock & Vanguard proxy voting power
8:42 Strangle mechanics: roll or recenter?
19:54 Taking more risk: processing a big win
26:29 Nostradogus: Amazon $3T market cap call
29:17 Lossdog agentic trades of the week
36:42 Private vs public: when to go public
43:39 Calling it: this market is a meltup
47:03 Caller Mike: expected moves explained
52:33 Kalshi & Polymarket: $45B or gambling?
1:06:54 Prediction markets: the honest read
1:11:30 S&P 500 index inclusions as a trade
1:26:23 Core strategies every trader needs
Prediction markets have become a legitimate data source for traders — Kalshi's
CFTC-regulated status changed that — but the integrity questions around wash trading and
political insider betting are the same ones the CME faced in its early years, and they're
not resolved. The August 2026 rally that sent the S&P 500 up 500+ points in five days is
historically unusual precisely because volatility didn't collapse the way it normally does
in a clean bull move, which is exactly what meltup conditions look like in real time.
S&P 500 quarterly rebalances — especially around major event-driven additions like recent
IPOs entering major indices — create one of the few mechanical, time-stamped, forced-flow
events that retail traders can position around without needing a research desk.
ABOUT ONE LUCKY DOG LIVE! / LOSSDOG
One Lucky Dog LIVE! is your daily wake-up call for career and financial clarity—streaming live Monday through Thursday, 8 : 30-10am CT. Hosts Tom Sosnoff, Scott Sheridan and Tony Battista bring decades of trading, entrepreneurial and fintech experience to optimizing our professional and portfolio worth.
Lossdog is the platform they're building to fix it. It's AI-powered software that doesn't just guess what you should earn—it calculates your real market value and shows you exactly how to increase it. No more vague salary ranges. No more wondering if you're being underpaid. Just clarity, backed by data.
The show is the conversation. The platform is the tool. Together, they're designed to help you stop leaving money on the table and start building the career you actually deserve.
📺 Watch live: Mon-Thu 8 : 30-10am CT
📞 Call in: 989-LOSSDOG
📧 oneluckydog@lossdog.com
🐕 Follow @wearelossdog everywhere 👉 http://linktr.ee/wearelossdog
Everyone has a number. Lossdog helps you know your number, and grow your number.
👉 Join Lossdog at https://lossdog.com/
Tom Sosnoff and Scott Sheridan are calling it — this is a meltup, with the S&P 500 at
new highs and gold and silver both up 4% as the five-day bull run shows no signs of
stopping. They make the case that Kalshi and Polymarket's combined $45B monthly volume
is more gambling operation than financial market, and walk through why S&P 500 quarterly
index additions are still tradable even after smart money front-runs the announcement.
Nostradogus makes its weekly Amazon call, Lossdog's agentic trades cover live positions
in SpaceX, QQQ, and crude oil, and there's a breakdown of BlackRock and Vanguard's proxy
voting power — and why it probably doesn't change much in practice. Dog pound callers ask
about expected move calculations, iron condor management in a gold breakout, and whether
setting up an LLC makes sense for serious options traders.
#lossdog #tomsosnoff #oneluckydoglive #stockmarket #optionstrading #spacex #predictionmarkets
TIMESTAMPS
0:00 Intro
1:10 SpaceX earnings + market open rundown
6:25 BlackRock & Vanguard proxy voting power
8:42 Strangle mechanics: roll or recenter?
19:54 Taking more risk: processing a big win
26:29 Nostradogus: Amazon $3T market cap call
29:17 Lossdog agentic trades of the week
36:42 Private vs public: when to go public
43:39 Calling it: this market is a meltup
47:03 Caller Mike: expected moves explained
52:33 Kalshi & Polymarket: $45B or gambling?
1:06:54 Prediction markets: the honest read
1:11:30 S&P 500 index inclusions as a trade
1:26:23 Core strategies every trader needs
Prediction markets have become a legitimate data source for traders — Kalshi's
CFTC-regulated status changed that — but the integrity questions around wash trading and
political insider betting are the same ones the CME faced in its early years, and they're
not resolved. The August 2026 rally that sent the S&P 500 up 500+ points in five days is
historically unusual precisely because volatility didn't collapse the way it normally does
in a clean bull move, which is exactly what meltup conditions look like in real time.
S&P 500 quarterly rebalances — especially around major event-driven additions like recent
IPOs entering major indices — create one of the few mechanical, time-stamped, forced-flow
events that retail traders can position around without needing a research desk.
ABOUT ONE LUCKY DOG LIVE! / LOSSDOG
One Lucky Dog LIVE! is your daily wake-up call for career and financial clarity—streaming live Monday through Thursday, 8 : 30-10am CT. Hosts Tom Sosnoff, Scott Sheridan and Tony Battista bring decades of trading, entrepreneurial and fintech experience to optimizing our professional and portfolio worth.
Lossdog is the platform they're building to fix it. It's AI-powered software that doesn't just guess what you should earn—it calculates your real market value and shows you exactly how to increase it. No more vague salary ranges. No more wondering if you're being underpaid. Just clarity, backed by data.
The show is the conversation. The platform is the tool. Together, they're designed to help you stop leaving money on the table and start building the career you actually deserve.
📺 Watch live: Mon-Thu 8 : 30-10am CT
📞 Call in: 989-LOSSDOG
📧 oneluckydog@lossdog.com
🐕 Follow @wearelossdog everywhere 👉 http://linktr.ee/wearelossdog
Everyone has a number. Lossdog helps you know your number, and grow your number.
👉 Join Lossdog at https://lossdog.com/
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