Description
Join the Lossdog waitlist at https://lossdog.com and please subscribe to this channel.
Tom Sosnoff and Scott Sheridan break down why Circle's correlation to Bitcoin makes zero sense, when to ignore the 50% profit-taking rule, and what's actually happening with gold and silver as prices go parabolic. Plus: how to sell covered calls on positions with 20 years of unrealized gains without triggering a tax nightmare, why quants and bots aren't your enemy, and which beaten-down sectors might finally bounce in 2026. Callers weigh in on silver circuit breakers, the gold-silver ratio hitting 20-year lows, and whether political tension will finally crack the market.
#lossdog #optionstrading #goldprice #silverinvesting #stockmarket #coveredcalls
TIMESTAMPS
0:00 Intro
1:35 Is Circle correlated to Bitcoin? (Spoiler: it shouldn't be)
5:27 Stablecoin plays beyond Circle
6:29 Futures vs ETFs vs physical for metals
10:41 When to take profits before 50%
13:30 Caller: Silver circuit breakers and the gold-silver ratio
15:48 Lossdog app launch update and waitlist tiers
17:22 S&P overnight swing: down 60, up 40
18:44 Last week for $5,000 Lossdog Prediction Contest
19:53 Caller: Why hasn't XLV dropped on drug pricing news?
23:34 Physical gold as a hedge against exchange intervention
27:47 Lossdog Network expansion plans
30:34 At-the-money vertical spreads and put-call parity
32:37 Top sectors for 2026: dogs over darlings
36:41 Covered calls on long-term holdings without tax pain
39:09 Can retail compete with quants and bots?
46:19 How to examine regime shift quantitatively
48:52 FIRE movement follow-up
50:04 What breaks the market: earnings, politics, or credit?
55:48 Caller: Bearish case for 2026 and interest rate impact
1:00:04 Market wrap: gold $5,087, silver $112, Bitcoin $88K
Gold crossed $5,000 less than three weeks into 2026 after trading around $4,400 when the Lossdog Prediction Contest launched—a move that seemed statistically inevitable over the full year, not in January. The gold-silver ratio dropped to roughly 47, its lowest in two decades, as silver surged past $112. Meanwhile, U.S. equities shrugged off overnight futures weakness and geopolitical noise to rally back near all-time highs, leaving traders debating whether political tension, AI valuations, or something nobody sees coming will finally trigger a correction.
ABOUT ONE LUCKY DOG LIVE! / LOSSDOG
One Lucky Dog LIVE! is your daily wake-up call for career and financial clarity—streaming live Monday through Thursday, 10-11am ET. Hosts Tom Sosnoff and Scott Sheridan (the founders behind thinkorswim and tastytrade) along with co-host Sol bring decades of experience democratizing finance, now turning their attention to something just as broken: how we understand our professional worth.
Lossdog is the platform they're building to fix it. It's AI-powered software that doesn't just guess what you should earn—it calculates your real market value and shows you exactly how to increase it. No more vague salary ranges. No more wondering if you're being underpaid. Just clarity, backed by data.
The show is the conversation. The platform is the tool. Together, they're designed to help you stop leaving money on the table and start building the career you actually deserve.
📺 Watch live: Mon-Thu 10-11am ET
📞 Call in: 989-LOSSDOG
📧 oneluckydog@lossdog.com
🐕 Follow @wearelossdog everywhere 👉 http://linktr.ee/wearelossdog
Everyone has a number. Lossdog helps you know your number, and grow your number.
👉 Join the waitlist at https://lossdog.com/
Tom Sosnoff and Scott Sheridan break down why Circle's correlation to Bitcoin makes zero sense, when to ignore the 50% profit-taking rule, and what's actually happening with gold and silver as prices go parabolic. Plus: how to sell covered calls on positions with 20 years of unrealized gains without triggering a tax nightmare, why quants and bots aren't your enemy, and which beaten-down sectors might finally bounce in 2026. Callers weigh in on silver circuit breakers, the gold-silver ratio hitting 20-year lows, and whether political tension will finally crack the market.
#lossdog #optionstrading #goldprice #silverinvesting #stockmarket #coveredcalls
TIMESTAMPS
0:00 Intro
1:35 Is Circle correlated to Bitcoin? (Spoiler: it shouldn't be)
5:27 Stablecoin plays beyond Circle
6:29 Futures vs ETFs vs physical for metals
10:41 When to take profits before 50%
13:30 Caller: Silver circuit breakers and the gold-silver ratio
15:48 Lossdog app launch update and waitlist tiers
17:22 S&P overnight swing: down 60, up 40
18:44 Last week for $5,000 Lossdog Prediction Contest
19:53 Caller: Why hasn't XLV dropped on drug pricing news?
23:34 Physical gold as a hedge against exchange intervention
27:47 Lossdog Network expansion plans
30:34 At-the-money vertical spreads and put-call parity
32:37 Top sectors for 2026: dogs over darlings
36:41 Covered calls on long-term holdings without tax pain
39:09 Can retail compete with quants and bots?
46:19 How to examine regime shift quantitatively
48:52 FIRE movement follow-up
50:04 What breaks the market: earnings, politics, or credit?
55:48 Caller: Bearish case for 2026 and interest rate impact
1:00:04 Market wrap: gold $5,087, silver $112, Bitcoin $88K
Gold crossed $5,000 less than three weeks into 2026 after trading around $4,400 when the Lossdog Prediction Contest launched—a move that seemed statistically inevitable over the full year, not in January. The gold-silver ratio dropped to roughly 47, its lowest in two decades, as silver surged past $112. Meanwhile, U.S. equities shrugged off overnight futures weakness and geopolitical noise to rally back near all-time highs, leaving traders debating whether political tension, AI valuations, or something nobody sees coming will finally trigger a correction.
ABOUT ONE LUCKY DOG LIVE! / LOSSDOG
One Lucky Dog LIVE! is your daily wake-up call for career and financial clarity—streaming live Monday through Thursday, 10-11am ET. Hosts Tom Sosnoff and Scott Sheridan (the founders behind thinkorswim and tastytrade) along with co-host Sol bring decades of experience democratizing finance, now turning their attention to something just as broken: how we understand our professional worth.
Lossdog is the platform they're building to fix it. It's AI-powered software that doesn't just guess what you should earn—it calculates your real market value and shows you exactly how to increase it. No more vague salary ranges. No more wondering if you're being underpaid. Just clarity, backed by data.
The show is the conversation. The platform is the tool. Together, they're designed to help you stop leaving money on the table and start building the career you actually deserve.
📺 Watch live: Mon-Thu 10-11am ET
📞 Call in: 989-LOSSDOG
📧 oneluckydog@lossdog.com
🐕 Follow @wearelossdog everywhere 👉 http://linktr.ee/wearelossdog
Everyone has a number. Lossdog helps you know your number, and grow your number.
👉 Join the waitlist at https://lossdog.com/
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