Description
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Tom Sosnoff, Scott Sheridan, and Tony Battista get into one of the oldest market sayings—"buy the rumor, sell the news"—and reveal what the research actually shows: it's 100% random, every single time. From there, the conversation shifts to the big investing debate of the moment, moonshot style versus moat style, and whether retail traders piling into SpaceX and Micron have permanently changed how markets move. Callers bring sharp questions on copper options trading, selling insurance vs. selling options, whether the new Fed chair will move markets, and what it actually feels like to manage other people's money. The show closes with a caller who got quietly bought out of his SpaceX pre-IPO fund position without consent—and Tom and Scott explain exactly why that happened and who was really responsible.
#lossdog #spacex #optionstrading #stockmarket #investing #retailtrading
TIMESTAMPS
5:17 SpaceX options trade breakdown
10:27 Market outlook: SpaceX and Micron carrying the market
13:27 Is "buy the rumor, sell the news" actually real?
16:20 Research verdict: it's 100% random
29:49 Moonshot investing vs. moat-style investing
35:11 Moat vs. moonshot: full breakdown and debate
44:53 Can small traders be contrarian? The real answer
49:23 Caller: copper options trading and contract size
50:44 Caller: selling options vs. selling insurance
55:38 Fed chair Walsh speaks tomorrow—what to expect
58:33 Caller: should you manage other people's money?
1:00:49 Caller: SpaceX pre-IPO fund—got bought out without consent
1:04:31 Final market recap and SpaceX valuation question
The "buy the rumor, sell the news" trade is one of the most repeated ideas in markets—and one of the least supported by data. Research from the thinkorswim era found the outcome is essentially a coin flip regardless of the event type, which cuts against the instinct that big announcements create predictable moves. Meanwhile, SpaceX's debut as a publicly traded company is reshaping how retail investors think about risk: a generation shaped by meme stocks and social media is gravitating toward moonshot positions over traditional value plays, and the numbers suggest they're moving markets in ways institutional investors didn't see coming. The question of whether that behavior is a structural shift or a cycle that eventually breaks is exactly what Tom, Scott, and Tony are working through in real time—and it's a question every investor probably should be asking right now.
ABOUT ONE LUCKY DOG LIVE! / LOSSDOG
One Lucky Dog LIVE! is your daily wake-up call for career and financial clarity—streaming live Monday through Thursday, 10-11am ET. Hosts Tom Sosnoff and Scott Sheridan (the founders behind thinkorswim and tastytrade) along with co-host Sol bring decades of experience democratizing finance, now turning their attention to something just as broken: how we understand our professional worth.
Lossdog is the platform they're building to fix it. It's AI-powered software that doesn't just guess what you should earn—it calculates your real market value and shows you exactly how to increase it. No more vague salary ranges. No more wondering if you're being underpaid. Just clarity, backed by data.
The show is the conversation. The platform is the tool. Together, they're designed to help you stop leaving money on the table and start building the career you actually deserve.
📺 Watch live: Mon-Thu 10-11am ET
📞 Call in: 989-LOSSDOG
📧 oneluckydog@lossdog.com
🐕 Follow @wearelossdog everywhere 👉 http://linktr.ee/wearelossdog
Everyone has a number. Lossdog helps you know your...
Tom Sosnoff, Scott Sheridan, and Tony Battista get into one of the oldest market sayings—"buy the rumor, sell the news"—and reveal what the research actually shows: it's 100% random, every single time. From there, the conversation shifts to the big investing debate of the moment, moonshot style versus moat style, and whether retail traders piling into SpaceX and Micron have permanently changed how markets move. Callers bring sharp questions on copper options trading, selling insurance vs. selling options, whether the new Fed chair will move markets, and what it actually feels like to manage other people's money. The show closes with a caller who got quietly bought out of his SpaceX pre-IPO fund position without consent—and Tom and Scott explain exactly why that happened and who was really responsible.
#lossdog #spacex #optionstrading #stockmarket #investing #retailtrading
TIMESTAMPS
5:17 SpaceX options trade breakdown
10:27 Market outlook: SpaceX and Micron carrying the market
13:27 Is "buy the rumor, sell the news" actually real?
16:20 Research verdict: it's 100% random
29:49 Moonshot investing vs. moat-style investing
35:11 Moat vs. moonshot: full breakdown and debate
44:53 Can small traders be contrarian? The real answer
49:23 Caller: copper options trading and contract size
50:44 Caller: selling options vs. selling insurance
55:38 Fed chair Walsh speaks tomorrow—what to expect
58:33 Caller: should you manage other people's money?
1:00:49 Caller: SpaceX pre-IPO fund—got bought out without consent
1:04:31 Final market recap and SpaceX valuation question
The "buy the rumor, sell the news" trade is one of the most repeated ideas in markets—and one of the least supported by data. Research from the thinkorswim era found the outcome is essentially a coin flip regardless of the event type, which cuts against the instinct that big announcements create predictable moves. Meanwhile, SpaceX's debut as a publicly traded company is reshaping how retail investors think about risk: a generation shaped by meme stocks and social media is gravitating toward moonshot positions over traditional value plays, and the numbers suggest they're moving markets in ways institutional investors didn't see coming. The question of whether that behavior is a structural shift or a cycle that eventually breaks is exactly what Tom, Scott, and Tony are working through in real time—and it's a question every investor probably should be asking right now.
ABOUT ONE LUCKY DOG LIVE! / LOSSDOG
One Lucky Dog LIVE! is your daily wake-up call for career and financial clarity—streaming live Monday through Thursday, 10-11am ET. Hosts Tom Sosnoff and Scott Sheridan (the founders behind thinkorswim and tastytrade) along with co-host Sol bring decades of experience democratizing finance, now turning their attention to something just as broken: how we understand our professional worth.
Lossdog is the platform they're building to fix it. It's AI-powered software that doesn't just guess what you should earn—it calculates your real market value and shows you exactly how to increase it. No more vague salary ranges. No more wondering if you're being underpaid. Just clarity, backed by data.
The show is the conversation. The platform is the tool. Together, they're designed to help you stop leaving money on the table and start building the career you actually deserve.
📺 Watch live: Mon-Thu 10-11am ET
📞 Call in: 989-LOSSDOG
📧 oneluckydog@lossdog.com
🐕 Follow @wearelossdog everywhere 👉 http://linktr.ee/wearelossdog
Everyone has a number. Lossdog helps you know your...
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