Description
Tom Sosnoff and Scott Sheridan go solo today โ Sol's out with food poisoning โ and they don't waste a second. They get into the alleged front-running of Trump's Iran news using S&P futures and crude oil, what $558 million in suspicious notional means on the CME, and whether anyone is actually going to face consequences. Then it's SpaceX at $1.25 trillion and OpenAI close behind โ do these numbers scare you, and should they? Tom walks through the Jade Lizard strategy as a capital-efficient hedge for naked put sellers, breaks down 0 DTE options for newer traders, and shares some of the most honest business and trading failures he's been through. Callers bring real questions on market resilience, pairs trading ES vs. oil, broker mid-price integrity, and quantum computing stocks.
#lossdog #optionstrading #stockmarket #insidertrading #jadelize #zerodayoptions
TIMESTAMPS
0:00 Intro โ Sol out, today's topics
1:12 Naked puts on ES โ Jade Lizard hedge explained
3:55 Trump front-running trade โ ES and crude oil
10:14 CME surveillance and accountability
11:07 SpaceX and OpenAI trillion-dollar IPOs
17:22 Buying the dip โ position sizing and conviction
20:00 How to disconnect news from the tape
25:10 Caller: Mohammed โ market resilience under pressure
29:05 Caller: Ron โ ES/oil pairs trade and CME oversight
34:21 Caller: Kapil โ broker mid-price integrity in SPX options
38:31 Tom and Scott portfolio secret sauce coming or no?
41:47 Business and trading failures, pivots, and hard lessons
46:02 Social media and job seeking โ Tom's contrarian take
50:14 0 DTE options explained
54:03 Quantum computing stocks โ rabbit hole or real opportunity
58:37 Live market wrap โ VIX, Nasdaq, Meta, Nvidia
With a reported $558 million in notional tied to S&P futures and crude oil moving just minutes before Trump's Iran announcement, the question isn't whether this was suspicious โ the CME knows every account behind every order. The real question is whether the CFTC and CME have the spine to follow through when the trail leads somewhere uncomfortable. Meanwhile, trillion-dollar IPO valuations for SpaceX and OpenAI are creating a familiar FOMO dynamic, and Tom draws an uncomfortable parallel to the dot-com era โ not because the technology isn't real, but because being priced for perfection leaves no room for anything to go wrong. For retail traders navigating all of this, the practical playbook hasn't changed: keep size disciplined, watch the tape over the headlines, and use elevated volatility as an opportunity rather than a reason to sit out.
ABOUT ONE LUCKY DOG LIVE! / LOSSDOG
One Lucky Dog LIVE! is your daily wake-up call for career and financial clarityโstreaming live Monday through Thursday, 10-11am ET. Hosts Tom Sosnoff and Scott Sheridan (the founders behind thinkorswim and tastytrade) along with co-host Sol bring decades of experience democratizing finance, now turning their attention to something just as broken: how we understand our professional worth.
Lossdog is the platform they're building to fix it. It's AI-powered software that doesn't just guess what you should earnโit calculates your real market value and shows you exactly how to increase it. No more vague salary ranges. No more wondering if you're being underpaid. Just clarity, backed by data.
The show is the conversation. The platform is the tool. Together, they're designed to help you stop leaving money on the table and start building the career you actually deserve.
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