Description
It's a hat trick — Tom Sosnoff, Scott Sheridan, and Tony Battista are all back together, and they came loaded. SpaceX just acquired AI coding company Cursor for $60 billion in an all-stock deal, so Tom walks through four specific SpaceX options trades: a broken wing butterfly, an August strangle he loves at 111% volatility, a bearish condor, and a cheap bullish call spread. Then it's Fed day, and the crew gets into whether the new Fed chair Worsh can hold the line on rates with the White House pushing hard to cut. Callers bring it too — Mark from Madison breaks down how the expected move changed his futures trading after 25 years, and the whole crew shares their best trading mantras from the floor.
#lossdog #tomsosnoff #oneluckydoglive #optionstrading #spacex #federalreserve #futurestrading
TIMESTAMPS
0:00 Intro: the hat trick is back
3:35 Market open — S&P, oil, NASDAQ check
4:32 Options expiration warning: Thursday not Friday
7:07 SpaceX acquires Cursor for $60B — trades of the week
10:43 Fed talk: Worsh, inflation at 4.2%, and the rate dilemma
15:00 Caller from Milan: when is the show going on the road?
21:41 SpaceX broken wing butterfly trade breakdown
23:22 SpaceX August strangle — Tom's favorite trade
24:41 SpaceX bearish condor trade
26:00 SpaceX bullish call spread
29:00 Market recap: gold, oil, crypto, bonds, big tech
35:05 Fed vs. Treasury: is the executive blurring the lines?
39:08 Caller Mark: using the expected move in futures
41:51 Best trading mantras — "just trade the winners"
42:50 Caller Gary: why isn't there a VIX for the upside?
45:07 Caller Daniel: when to expand or hand off your business
47:49 How to trade FOMC day: 7 strategies explained
53:31 Scott Bessent poll results from the dog pound
The Fed's June 2026 meeting lands in a genuinely awkward moment: inflation is still running above 2% at 4.2%, equity markets are near all-time highs, and the new Fed chair Kevin Worsh is navigating pressure from the White House to cut rates while trying to establish his own credibility. At the same time, SpaceX's $60 billion all-stock acquisition of Cursor signals just how fast private AI deals are scaling — and how much volatility is baked into a stock trading at 111% implied volatility. For options traders, Fed days have a playbook, and this episode gets specific about it: fade the spike, wait a day, use the CME Fed Watch tool, trade smaller size, and know the difference between ZB and ZN. These aren't theories — they're the mechanics that actually survive contact with a live announcement.
ABOUT ONE LUCKY DOG LIVE! / LOSSDOG
One Lucky Dog LIVE! is your daily wake-up call for career and financial clarity—streaming live Monday through Thursday, 10-11am ET. Hosts Tom Sosnoff, Scott Sheridan and Tony Battista bring decades of trading, entrepreneurial and fintech experience to optimizing our professional and portfolio worth.
Lossdog is the platform they're building to fix it. It's AI-powered software that doesn't just guess what you should earn—it calculates your real market value and shows you exactly how to increase it. No more vague salary ranges. No more wondering if you're being underpaid. Just clarity, backed by data.
The show is the conversation. The platform is the tool. Together, they're designed to help you stop leaving money on the table and start building the career you actually deserve.
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