Description
Tony Battista and Scott Sheridan open with the question everyone should be asking: now that stocks and bonds have been moving in the same direction for years, is the historic inverse relationship between them finally coming back — and does it take a real correction to get there? Bitcoin and Ethereum fell hard when the US renewed airstrikes on Iran, raising the real question of whether crypto is just another risk asset these days, moving with equities instead of against them. Tom Sosnoff joins mid-show to walk through the August jobs report, flag dangerous levels of VIX complacency, and explain exactly what bond prices are telling you about the Fed's next move. The show wraps with a full breakdown of calendar and diagonal spreads — profit targets, when to avoid them, and why you should never trade these in VIX.
#lossdog #tomsosnoff #oneluckydoglive #bitcoin #optionstrading #stockmarket #interestrates
TIMESTAMPS
0:00 Intro
1:22 Tony Battista & Scott Sheridan open
7:28 Startup IP protection: NDAs vs. trust
8:56 Stocks & bonds inverse correlation
15:09 Solo trading vs. trade desk: 87% stat
16:48 IPO valuations + the Meta $17B fine
32:03 Tony's trades: Hood, Tesla, Apple
46:06 Tom Sosnoff joins + market update
55:35 Caller: Lossdog AI & agentic tools
1:02:27 VIX complacency: the real warning sign
1:06:55 Is Bitcoin just another risk asset?
1:08:52 Politicians trading stocks: debate
1:11:21 Caller Bobby: the porta-potty trader
1:17:44 30-year mortgage rates at 6.75%
1:30:01 Calendar & diagonal spreads breakdown
The 30-year Treasury rate has climbed to 6.7% across three consecutive weeks, and the bond market is moving on its own terms again after a decade-long era of suppressed rates. Mortgage rates are back at 6.75%, putting first-time buyers — most of whom have only ever seen rates near zero — into a market where paying over asking has become standard. The VIX is sitting near historic lows even as real macro pressures stack up, which is the exact setup that tends to precede sharp volatility spikes. And crypto's behavior around Iran-related news has re-opened the debate about what Bitcoin actually is in a portfolio: inflation hedge, risk-on trade, or just price discovery happening in real time.
ABOUT ONE LUCKY DOG LIVE! / LOSSDOG
One Lucky Dog LIVE! is your daily wake-up call for career and financial clarity—streaming live Monday through Thursday, 8 : 30-10am CT. Hosts Tom Sosnoff, Scott Sheridan and Tony Battista bring decades of trading, entrepreneurial and fintech experience to optimizing our professional and portfolio worth.
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