Description
Small caps just posted their best first half since 1991 — and almost nobody noticed. Tom Sosnoff and Scott Sheridan break down why the 20% small cap rally flew under the radar while everyone chased AI and mega-cap names, what it actually signals about the health of the broader market, and whether it changes the options opportunity set for individual traders. Tony Battista is on vacation in Positano but still showed up — he submitted his trades of the week from Italy, including a soybeans strangle with a 93 IVR, a SpaceX put sale, and a Dell strangle with serious call skew. The show closes with a step-by-step scalping futures tutorial covering micro contracts, tick sizes, expected moves, profit targets, the 2x loss rule, and the one mistake that kills most scalpers before they ever get good at it.
#lossdog #tomsosnoff #oneluckydoglive #smallcaps #optionstrading #futurestradng #investing
TIMESTAMPS
0:00 Intro and show preview
1:18 Small caps: best first half since 1991
6:41 Live market rundown
14:11 Crude oil trade setup
16:28 Trading scam warning
16:53 Defined vs undefined risk in small accounts
20:26 What bothers you about financial media
36:24 Question of the day: is this rally meant to be sold
37:04 Hedging a $65K long portfolio
39:01 Tony's trades from Italy: soybeans strangle
42:07 Tony's trades: SpaceX put sale
57:01 Dell strangle breakdown
58:56 Small cap outperformance and options opportunity
1:07:00 Caller Lisa: ZB bond trade mechanics
1:12:06 Zero DTE framework from the dog pound
1:17:53 Scalping futures tutorial: micro contracts and tick sizes
1:20:17 Scalping profit targets: 20–40% of expected move
1:22:17 Don't double down — the 2x loss rule
1:23:25 Scalping rule: never hedge or spread off a losing scalp
Small caps quietly outperformed nearly everything in the first half of 2026, with IWM climbing roughly 20% while most investors stayed locked on AI names and mega-cap tech. That kind of breadth expansion — smaller, domestically focused companies catching a genuine bid while semiconductors pulled back — has historically been a signal that the rally is broader and more durable than the headlines suggest. At the same time, futures trading is having a moment with retail investors, and the gap between people who understand micro contract sizing and those who don't is enormous. Knowing the tick value, the one-day expected move, and a realistic profit target before you place a scalp isn't optional — it's the whole game. These topics don't always get treated with the seriousness they deserve, which is exactly what this show exists to fix.
ABOUT ONE LUCKY DOG LIVE! / LOSSDOG
One Lucky Dog LIVE! is your daily wake-up call for career and financial clarity—streaming live Monday through Thursday, 8 : 30-10am CT. Hosts Tom Sosnoff, Scott Sheridan and Tony Battista bring decades of trading, entrepreneurial and fintech experience to optimizing our professional and portfolio worth.
Lossdog is the platform they're building to fix it. It's AI-powered software that doesn't just guess what you should earn—it calculates your real market value and shows you exactly how to increase it. No more vague salary ranges. No more wondering if you're being underpaid. Just clarity, backed by data.
The show is the conversation. The platform is the tool. Together, they're designed to help you stop leaving money on the table and start building the career you actually deserve.
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