Description
Tom Sosnoff and Scott Sheridan break down why fundamental analysis doesn't give traders an edge, explain the truth about earnings plays and expected moves, and reveal their current short positions as markets hover near record highs. Plus, callers ask about prop firms, yen puts, and how to actually start trading options without losing money. Tom also explains why he's stuck holding PayPal forever after a blown earnings trade.
#lossdog #stockmarket #optionstrading #career #salary #financialfreedom
TIMESTAMPS
0:00 Intro
0:54 Why fundamental analysis doesn't work
7:52 Being short XYZ—what it actually means
9:12 Shorting stock vs selling calls vs puts
10:40 Tom's PayPal earnings disaster
12:02 New to options? Start here
14:25 Arthur calls: earnings trades have no edge
19:35 Lossdog Stablecoin coming in March
20:18 10-year yields and interest rate reality
24:33 Why Tom's always been short the market
29:38 Job offer anxiety—take it or stay safe?
34:16 Prop firm warning: fees and restrictions
37:26 Trading yen puts on regular expirations
39:04 Cubs jersey controversy
44:54 Caller: Mike from West Chester (PA)
47:40 Madison calls: how Lossdog scores intangibles
52:40 Employer side of Lossdog—will it be used against you?
54:39 Mark Burley's perfect game and the mitt debate
58:22 When traders thought algorithms couldn't replace them
The market hasn't had a real pullback since 2008, interest rates are stuck in a narrow range, and stocks like Micron and silver are making moves that blow past any technical or fundamental prediction. Meanwhile, traders still try to time entries with analysis that has zero edge. Tom and Scott have spent 40 years watching this play out—first in the pits, then building thinkorswim and tastytrade, and now with Lossdog. The constant? Nobody knows what's coming next, but the playing field stays level because of it. That's what makes markets tradable. This episode cuts through the noise on short-term trading, overnight risk, and why trying to outsmart price action usually backfires. If you're new to options, the advice here is simple: start small, trade liquid names, don't touch silver or natty gas, and forget about finding an edge in earnings.
ABOUT ONE LUCKY DOG LIVE! / LOSSDOG
One Lucky Dog LIVE! is your daily wake-up call for career and financial clarity—streaming live Monday through Thursday, 10-11am ET. Hosts Tom Sosnoff and Scott Sheridan (the founders behind thinkorswim and tastytrade) along with co-host Sol bring decades of experience democratizing finance, now turning their attention to something just as broken: how we understand our professional worth.
Lossdog is the platform they're building to fix it. It's AI-powered software that doesn't just guess what you should earn—it calculates your real market value and shows you exactly how to increase it. No more vague salary ranges. No more wondering if you're being underpaid. Just clarity, backed by data.
The show is the conversation. The platform is the tool. Together, they're designed to help you stop leaving money on the table and start building the career you actually deserve.
📺 Watch live: Mon-Thu 10-11am ET
📞 Call in: 989-LOSSDOG
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Everyone has a number. Lossdog helps you know your number, and grow your number.
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