Description
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With the SpaceX IPO dropping the next morning, Tom Sosnoff and Tony Battista get into whether retail investors have any real business touching it — and their answer is pretty clear. Tony walks through five live trades including a broken wing butterfly on SPX, put ratio spreads on Apple and Microsoft, a contrarian Palantir call spread, and a diagonal on a name he likes to own. Then the conversation shifts to the AI taxation debate: who actually foots the bill when trillion-dollar companies pay no taxes, consume massive energy, and the public picks up the tab? Tom and Tony also break down the five things they actually watch to make trading decisions — and inflation reports, Iran headlines, and SpaceX news aren't any of them. Callers include Jeff from Ohio sharing a long options strategy on XSP and Loki from New Jersey pressing on SpaceX valuation.
#lossdog #spacex #optionstrading #stockmarket #airegulation #investing
TIMESTAMPS
0:00 Intro and set banter
4:44 Overnight trades recap and gold puts
10:35 SpaceX IPO: Tom's honest take
13:34 SpaceX valuation vs. tastytrade's exit
16:57 Today's market snapshot and rotation
27:37 Tony's trades of the week — overview
28:02 Trade 1: SPX broken wing butterfly
29:41 Trade 2: Apple put ratio spread
30:49 Trade 3: Palantir directional call spread
31:37 Trade 4: Microsoft put ratio spread
32:29 Trade 5: Diagonal spread breakdown
43:00 Caller Nick — market outlook discussion
45:08 AI regulation debate begins
57:30 What traders actually watch (not the news)
1:02:59 Caller Jeff from Ohio — XSP options strategy
1:05:17 Caller Loki — SpaceX valuation question
1:08:32 SpaceX IPO: buy the dip or stay away?
1:10:28 Final market update and close
The SpaceX IPO lands at a moment when markets are already pulling off a rotation no one saw coming — chip stocks ripping while Meta, Google, and Microsoft all bleed. AI data centers now consume enough energy that utility bills for regular consumers are quietly going up, while the companies behind those data centers haven't turned a taxable profit yet. The debate over whether to tax token usage, automated labor, or AI energy consumption isn't fringe anymore — it's coming from inside the AI companies themselves. And with interest rates stuck and gold whipsawing, the old playbook of watching macro headlines just doesn't hold up the way it used to.
ABOUT ONE LUCKY DOG LIVE! / LOSSDOG
One Lucky Dog LIVE! is your daily wake-up call for career and financial clarity—streaming live Monday through Thursday, 10-11am ET. Hosts Tom Sosnoff and Scott Sheridan (the founders behind thinkorswim and tastytrade) along with co-host Sol bring decades of experience democratizing finance, now turning their attention to something just as broken: how we understand our professional worth.
Lossdog is the platform they're building to fix it. It's AI-powered software that doesn't just guess what you should earn—it calculates your real market value and shows you exactly how to increase it. No more vague salary ranges. No more wondering if you're being underpaid. Just clarity, backed by data.
The show is the conversation. The platform is the tool. Together, they're designed to help you stop leaving money on the table and start building the career you actually deserve.
📺 Watch live: Mon-Thu 10-11am ET
📞 Call in: 989-LOSSDOG
📧 oneluckydog@lossdog.com
🐕 Follow @wearelossdog everywhere 👉 http://linktr.ee/wearelossdog
Everyone has a number. Lossdog helps you know your number, and grow your number.
👉 Join the waitlist at https://lossd...
With the SpaceX IPO dropping the next morning, Tom Sosnoff and Tony Battista get into whether retail investors have any real business touching it — and their answer is pretty clear. Tony walks through five live trades including a broken wing butterfly on SPX, put ratio spreads on Apple and Microsoft, a contrarian Palantir call spread, and a diagonal on a name he likes to own. Then the conversation shifts to the AI taxation debate: who actually foots the bill when trillion-dollar companies pay no taxes, consume massive energy, and the public picks up the tab? Tom and Tony also break down the five things they actually watch to make trading decisions — and inflation reports, Iran headlines, and SpaceX news aren't any of them. Callers include Jeff from Ohio sharing a long options strategy on XSP and Loki from New Jersey pressing on SpaceX valuation.
#lossdog #spacex #optionstrading #stockmarket #airegulation #investing
TIMESTAMPS
0:00 Intro and set banter
4:44 Overnight trades recap and gold puts
10:35 SpaceX IPO: Tom's honest take
13:34 SpaceX valuation vs. tastytrade's exit
16:57 Today's market snapshot and rotation
27:37 Tony's trades of the week — overview
28:02 Trade 1: SPX broken wing butterfly
29:41 Trade 2: Apple put ratio spread
30:49 Trade 3: Palantir directional call spread
31:37 Trade 4: Microsoft put ratio spread
32:29 Trade 5: Diagonal spread breakdown
43:00 Caller Nick — market outlook discussion
45:08 AI regulation debate begins
57:30 What traders actually watch (not the news)
1:02:59 Caller Jeff from Ohio — XSP options strategy
1:05:17 Caller Loki — SpaceX valuation question
1:08:32 SpaceX IPO: buy the dip or stay away?
1:10:28 Final market update and close
The SpaceX IPO lands at a moment when markets are already pulling off a rotation no one saw coming — chip stocks ripping while Meta, Google, and Microsoft all bleed. AI data centers now consume enough energy that utility bills for regular consumers are quietly going up, while the companies behind those data centers haven't turned a taxable profit yet. The debate over whether to tax token usage, automated labor, or AI energy consumption isn't fringe anymore — it's coming from inside the AI companies themselves. And with interest rates stuck and gold whipsawing, the old playbook of watching macro headlines just doesn't hold up the way it used to.
ABOUT ONE LUCKY DOG LIVE! / LOSSDOG
One Lucky Dog LIVE! is your daily wake-up call for career and financial clarity—streaming live Monday through Thursday, 10-11am ET. Hosts Tom Sosnoff and Scott Sheridan (the founders behind thinkorswim and tastytrade) along with co-host Sol bring decades of experience democratizing finance, now turning their attention to something just as broken: how we understand our professional worth.
Lossdog is the platform they're building to fix it. It's AI-powered software that doesn't just guess what you should earn—it calculates your real market value and shows you exactly how to increase it. No more vague salary ranges. No more wondering if you're being underpaid. Just clarity, backed by data.
The show is the conversation. The platform is the tool. Together, they're designed to help you stop leaving money on the table and start building the career you actually deserve.
📺 Watch live: Mon-Thu 10-11am ET
📞 Call in: 989-LOSSDOG
📧 oneluckydog@lossdog.com
🐕 Follow @wearelossdog everywhere 👉 http://linktr.ee/wearelossdog
Everyone has a number. Lossdog helps you know your number, and grow your number.
👉 Join the waitlist at https://lossd...
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