Description
This Monday's show centers on Nvidia's Wednesday earnings — Tom Sosnoff and Tony Battista break down why the $11 expected move on a $210 stock feels dangerously cheap, and what a real market maker would actually price it at. Scott Sheridan joins midway to weigh in on Bitcoin's best week in two years (back near $80K from the low 60s), the Treasury's bond buybacks that the market completely shrugged off, and how 0DTE options now account for 60% of all S&P index volume. Tom also walks through his trades of the week — Intel Jade Lizard, IBIT strangle, and Walmart vs. Target — takes callers on covered call management, gold, and the Bitcoin 60K vs. 90K debate, and teases a Lossdog stablecoin coming soon.
#lossdog #tomsosnoff #oneluckydoglive #bitcoin #optionstrading #nvdaearnings #0dte
TIMESTAMPS
0:00 Intro
1:17 Market open: S&P, NASDAQ, Bitcoin, gold
7:12 Trade before confirmation — not after
9:38 AMD covered call — stuck at $110
13:08 NVDA earnings: the $11 move is too small
30:57 Tom's Trades of the Week
38:15 Caller: walk away after hitting targets?
42:25 Scott Sheridan joins the show
47:58 $4B bond buybacks — yields win anyway
51:51 Fed rate hike debate
57:51 Real estate: commercial vs. residential
1:00:02 Nvidia earnings deep dive with Scott
1:04:47 Capitalism vs. democracy — who wins?
1:13:01 Bitcoin's best week in 2 years
1:21:42 0DTE options — 60% of S&P volume
Nvidia reports Wednesday as the largest company on earth by market cap, and the options market's $11 implied move looks thin against a stock that can swing $20 in a single session — especially with $236 billion already stripped from its cap this past week and analyst price targets scattered anywhere from $300 to $400. In the bond market, 10-year yields are sitting near 4.7% and the 30-year is pushing 5.25%, and the Treasury's move from $2 billion to $4 billion in weekly buybacks barely registered against a $30 trillion market — because markets price the truth, not the press release. Bitcoin's run back toward $80K is its strongest momentum in two years, landing as the most crypto-friendly administration in recent history edges closer to stablecoin and digital asset legislation that could permanently reshape how money moves. And zero-day options — a concept first proposed to the CBOE by Tom Sosnoff and the thinkorswim team back in 2005 — now account for 60% of all S&P index options flow, quietly rewriting who has edge in the market and proving that retail isn't the volatility bomb everyone feared.
ABOUT ONE LUCKY DOG LIVE! / LOSSDOG
One Lucky Dog LIVE! is your daily wake-up call for career and financial clarity—streaming live Monday through Thursday, 8 : 30-10am CT. Hosts Tom Sosnoff, Scott Sheridan and Tony Battista bring decades of trading, entrepreneurial and fintech experience to optimizing our professional and portfolio worth.
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