Description
In this podcast, Edmund Shing unveils his strategy for November 2025.
Liquidity-fuelled stock bull market trend intact: as the current bull market enters year four, positive macro liquidity trends and lower interest rates support further upside despite a recent spike in volatility. Positive on stocks, we prefer exposure to Japan and UK.
US interest rate expectations fall on weaker labour markets and lower energy prices: with a limited pass-through of US tariffs to the final consumer to date and clearly weaker labour market conditions, the Federal Reserve will continue to lower rates. Stock markets are supported by a lower 10-year Treasury bond yield, now at 4%.
Precious metals enter a corrective phase: after an impressive performance over the last year, gold and silver prices have corrected from all-time highs. Albeit perfectly normal in precious metal bull markets, we nevertheless turn tactically Neutral on gold and silver and await better re-entry points in the near future.
Keep an eye on private credit market concerns: while current credit issues are centred on two US auto part suppliers and certain US regional banks, we watch for financial stress spreading more widely e.g. to the high yield credit market. So far, transmission of these US private credit issues elsewhere remains limited.
Our preferred investment ideas today: in stocks, we favour European listed infrastructure (including Utilities), global Health Care and Chinese A-shares. In higher-yielding bonds, we like emerging market sovereign bonds (local currency). In Alternatives, look to adding strategic base metals exposure e.g. copper and aluminium.
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