Speaker #0Hello and welcome to Les Clés du Monde, the podcast that explores major issues in law and geopolitics. Today, I'm taking you far away to the Great North, and yet we are going to talk about a subject that touches the very heart of European security. Imagine an island populated by nearly 57,000 inhabitants in 2025. That is barely the population of a small town. But its population lives on a gigantic territory, over 2 million square kilometers. It is the world's largest island, covered at about 80% by an ice sheet. You guessed it: we're going to Greenland.
It is a discreet territory, long seen as the edge of the world. But it has become a major point of friction between the United States, China, and Europe. You might remember that bombshell in 2019: Donald Trump proposed buying Greenland, a rhetoric that has resurfaced recently. At the time, many smiled, but his idea actually reveals something very serious—the brutal return of geopolitics and the fragility of international law.
So, what is the idea of a purchase really worth? What is China's real role? And where is Europe in this battle? That is what we are going to decipher together. To understand the stakes, we must first look at the island's very particular status. It's simple: Greenland is not an independent state, but neither is it a simple region. It is an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark.
Concretely, Greenlanders have their own parliament and their own government. They manage their schools, their environment, and their economy. But for everything related to sovereign matters—that is, defense, foreign policy, or currency—it is Copenhagen that decides. So it is a very advanced autonomy. In fact, since 2009, they officially have the right to self-determination. If they want to, tomorrow they can vote for their independence with Denmark's agreement.
But there is a catch, and it is economic. The local economy relies mainly on fishing. And above all, nearly half of the island's public budget comes from a subsidy paid every year by Denmark. The dilemma is therefore terrible. Political independence is a dream, but economic independence seems impossible without finding new resources.
So, why does the island interest the great powers so much? There are three major reasons. The first is the military position. In the northwest of the island lies the American base of Peter Fick, formerly Thule. It is a strategic site for NATO and North American defense. It houses radars essential for space surveillance and missile detection. Without Greenland, the Allies would lose vital surveillance capacity on the northern flank.
The second reason is what sleeps beneath the ice. The Greenlandic soil holds great potential for rare earth elements and critical metals, which are indispensable for our technologies. However, let's be precise: while the potential is there, commercial exploitation remains limited for now. This is where China comes in. Beijing defines itself as a near-Arctic state and shows a real interest in these resources. Even if the Chinese presence is not dominant today, this ambition is enough to worry Washington and reignite competition.
Finally, the third reason is the climate. With global warming, the ice is receding. New maritime routes are opening in the north, which could transform the geopolitics of world trade in the medium term.
Now, let's go back to the question that made headlines. Can you actually buy Greenland? In practice, it is legally almost impossible today. To be fair, in the 19th century, it was common—as with Alaska in 1867. But the world has changed. Since 1945, international law has been based on the rights of peoples to self-determination. You do not transfer an inhabited territory without the formal agreement of its population. For Greenland to change sovereignty, a local referendum and a Danish constitutional procedure would be imperative.
But be careful: when Washington talks about buying, it's not a standard legal offer. It is a strategic message. It is a brutal way of saying this territory is vital for American security, and we won't let anyone else settle there.
And what about Europe? This is where the issue becomes particularly interesting from a European legal perspective. Greenland left the European Community in 1985 following a local referendum. It is therefore not part of the European Union. However, it is far from being outside the EU legal order. Today, Greenland is what we call an overseas country and territory. According to the EU treaties, this means it has a special partnership with Europe. The goal is simple: to help its economy grow and connect it to the world while fully respecting its autonomy.
This relationship is structured through an association decision adopted by the Council, renewed for the 2021–2027 period. It covers sectors like fisheries, education, research, and crucially, raw materials. More recently, the EU has reinforced its engagement by opening an official representation office in Nuuk in 2024. This is a strong political signal of long-term involvement.
Legally speaking, the Union acts in Greenland through its specific areas of competence: trade policy, internal market regulation, and environmental standards. It exercises what is often described as normative power—the ability to shape behavior through law, standards, and market access rather than through military means. However, the limits of this model are clear. Under the treaties, the EU has no direct competence in territorial defense. Security matters remain primarily within the responsibility of Denmark as a sovereign state and within the NATO framework under Article 42 of the Treaty on European Union.
Greenland therefore illustrates a structural tension at the heart of the European project. The Union is a powerful regulatory actor capable of influencing regions through law and markets, but it remains institutionally constrained when geopolitical competition becomes militarized. In that sense, Greenland is not only a strategic territory. It is also a legal test case for the European Union's ambition to reconcile its identity as a normative power with its growing objective of strategic autonomy.
To finish, what should we remember? Greenland is a laboratory. On one side, the return of raw competition between powers for resources and bases. On the other: the necessity for Europe to assert itself as a credible partner in the Arctic. It is not just a desert of ice; it is like a mirror of our vulnerabilities and our future ambitions. Greenland is an island tiny by its population but immense by the stakes it raises.
Thank you so much for joining me on today's journey through Greenland. I hope you enjoyed this episode as much as I enjoyed making it. I can't wait to share a new adventure with you next week. See you then.